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Acute Coronary Syndrome: Likelihood Ratios

Introduction: ACS is distinguished from stable angina by:

* Rest angina, which is usually more than 20 minutes in duration

* New onset angina that markedly limits physical activity

* Increasing angina that is more frequent, longer in duration, or occurs with less exertion than previous angina

ACS is divided into 3 major categories, namely unstable angina (defined by no serum marker elevation), NSTEMI (serum markers but no ST elevations), and STEMI.

STEMI (ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction, aka ST-elevation MI) - Strict ECG definition: New ST elevation at the J-point in two contiguous leads with the cut-off points: >=0.2 mV in men or >=0.15 mV in women in leads V2-V3 and/or >=0.1 mV in other leads, in the absence of LVH and RBBB.

Cardiac Enzymes timecourse (sens/spec data) from Circulation PMID 10190875:

http://circ.ahajournals.org/cgi/content/full/99/13/1671/T2

Cardiac Enzymes timecourse, from UpToDate:

http://www.uptodate.com/online/content/image.do?imageKey=CARD%2F3187

Other clinical findings: JAMA. 2015 Nov 10;314(18):1955-65 PMID: 26547467 (old) JAMA. 1998 Oct 14;280(14):1256-63. PMID: 9786377

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Tags: Cardiac Problem Tag this Diagnosis.

Prevalence

Population / CalculatorPrevalence Comments / Study / Link
TIMI risk score 12% http://www.mdcalc.com/uanstemitimiscore

http://jama.ama-assn.org/cgi/content/abstract/284/7/835

500 10%
0%
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The likelihood ratios of findings for Acute Coronary Syndrome are listed below. See the left navigation bar to change the display.

Pre-Test Probability (Prevalence): %. Post-Test Probability (Predictive Value): %. Switch to display mode.
**Note that calculating probabilities from more than one finding is inherently inaccurate because findings are not independent. (For example, using two positive findings that share a common pathogenesis is likely to overestimate the true probability.)
Good Positive and Negative Likelihood Ratios
FindingResult +LR-LR
[ + ] CK-MB Subforms + 0 - 480
[ + ] Troponin I + 0 - 17.10.1
[ + ] Troponin T + 0 - 12.40.1
[ + ] CK-MB Subforms + 0 - 8.30.1
[ + ] Trans-Thoracic Echocardiography + 0 - 2.30.1
[ + ] Myoglobin + 0 - 7.10.2
[ + ] Continuous Electrocardiogram + 0 - 680.3
[ + ] Troponin T + 0 - 15.80.4
[ + ] Troponin I + 0 - 10.10.5
Good Negative Likelihood Ratio
FindingResult +LR-LR
[ + ] No Chest Wall Tenderness + 0 - 1.30.3
Good Positive Likelihood Ratio
FindingResult +LR-LR
[ + ] Sgarbossa Criteria + 0 - 10.90.7
[ + ] Troponin T + 0 - 6.60.9
[ + ] ST Depression + 0 - 50.8
[ + ] Troponin I + 0 - 4.90.9
[ + ] ECG + 0 - 3.60.7
[ + ] Hypotension + 0 - 3.11
[ + ] Abnormal Prior Stress Test + 0 - 30.9
[ + ] Pain Radiating to Shoulders or Arms + 0 - 2.80.9
[ + ] Peripheral Artery Disease + 0 - 2.51
[ + ] Exertional Chest Pain + 0 - 2.40.8
[ + ] CK-MB Subforms + 0 - 2.20.9
[ + ] Myoglobin + 0 - 2.10.8
[ + ] History of Coronary Artery Disease + 0 - 20.7
[ + ] Tachypnea + 0 - 20.9
Negative Findings
FindingResult +LR-LR
[ + ] Tenderness to Palpation + 0 - 0.31.2
Poorly Diagnostic Findings
FindingResult +LR-LR
[ + ] Tachycardia + 0 - 1.61
[ + ] Crackles + 0 - 1.81
[ + ] T-Wave Inversion + 0 - 1.80.9
Findings With Unspecified Accuracy
FindingResult +LR-LR
[ + ] HEART Score No accuracy specified.